Mexico -3 -133 over St. Vincent (October 10th rematch)

quantumleap · Oct 8, 2004

Mexico -3 -133 over St. Vincent & Grenadines
As was seen in my previous post regarding these 2 teams, Mexico is a powerhouse and can run up the score. They beat Dominica 18-0 and this very same St. Vincent team 7-0 last Wednesday. The line for that game was Mexico -4. Now the line is -3???

The only reason I can think that would cause this line to be -3 is that the 1st-half score was Mexico 1, St. Vince 0. Will Mexico hold back on the reins on this team to keep the victory less than 3? Or will they let loose like they did against Dominica and also against St. Vince by scoring 6 goals in the 2nd half?

My money is on Mexico.

matahari · Oct 8, 2004

The only reason I can think that would cause this line to be -3 is that the 1st-half score was Mexico 1, St. Vince 0.

Not really, the handicaps are set according to the home advantage, so suppose the home advantage in the Concacaf zone is indeed 0.5 goals, thus we have 0.5+0.5 = 1 goal difference between home and away match.

quantumleap · Oct 8, 2004

matahari said:
The only reason I can think that would cause this line to be -3 is that the 1st-half score was Mexico 1, St. Vince 0.

Not really, the handicaps are set according to the home advantage, so suppose the home advantage in the Concacaf zone is indeed 0.5 goals, thus we have 0.5+0.5 = 1 goal difference between home and away match.

That makes sense matahari. I still believe Mexico can run up the score whether at home or away.

Good luck.